EB3 other Worker ROW PD June 2026 may wait around 10 years?

Do you believe this?

EB-3 Other Workers — ROW

Priority Date: June 2026

Current FAD: ~April 2022

Current gap: ~50 months

But 50 months of Visa Bulletin gap does not necessarily mean 50 months of waiting.

Queue Model: • Approved inventory: 42,700 • I-140s ahead of June 2026: ~15,000 • Estimated conversion: 80% • Derivative factor: 2.2

Estimated effective demand: ~95K–105K visas

Forecast: Optimistic: 2033–2035 Base case: 2037–2039 Pessimistic: 2040–2044

So, could an EB-3 Other Worker applicant with a June 2026 Priority Date realistically be waiting 10+ years for the FAD to reach their date?

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References: U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin; USCIS EB-3 Other Workers inventory data.

Analysis & forecast model by ChatGPT

This forecast is based on available data and assumptions. It is not an official prediction or guarantee from USCIS or the U.S. Department of State.