Are my chances low?

As the application deadline comes closer I was just wondering if they always consider in the TAU during the review. For my instance my GPA is at a 3.5 currently before my fall semester grades comes in. This is just from Two C and one B, both from calculus 1 and 2 and the other a communication class. However with the TAU I calculated my GPA could rise up to close to a 3.8 GPA which is much better. So my question is will the top UCs just completely reject my application straight from their first look into my grades which came from my freshman year at CC, or do they always wait for the TAU to completely review someones application. I also joined the honors program this year and am doing well so Im hoping that if I have growth they will overlook those C's and im also taking linear algebra currently which im hoping to end with an A for a better look in the math field. (I am a Cognitive Science major)