Flight price evaluation tool

Enter a route, date, stops, etc. and it estimates a fair price using a pricing model that combines flight characteristics with historical fare data when enough route-specific history is available.

When there isn't enough historical data for a route, the model falls back to broader patterns from the available data.

https://www.fleeabroad.com/evaluate.html

It's very beta, with a few limitations:

• The training data is weighted toward last-minute-ish fares, so far-out dates are less reliable
• Flight duration is sometimes estimated rather than based on actual schedules
• Obscure routes/airlines may have less reliable estimates
• Round trips are currently calculated as two one-ways
• USD only

The goal isn't just “is this a deal?” — it's to give a reasonable fair-price estimate so you can see whether a fare is unusually cheap, about normal, or expensive.

If anyone tries it, feedback on routes where the estimate looks obviously wrong would be especially useful.