Which of these predictions is more realistic?

1. man city
2. chelsea
3. man utd
4. liverpool
5. arsenal
6. spurs
7. southampton
8. swansea
9. west ham
10. everton
11. leicester
12. stoke
13. newcastle
14. bournemouth
15. west brom
16. watford
17. crystal palace
18. sunderland
19. aston villa
20. norwich

or

1. Chelsea
2. Manchester City
3. Manchester United
4. Arsenal
5. Liverpool
6. Tottenham
7. Swansea
8. Southampton
9. Everton
10. Crystal Palace
11. West Ham
12. West Brom
13. Leicester City
14. Stoke City
15. Sunderland
16. Newcastle
17. Aston Villa
18. Watford
19. AFC Bournemouth
20. Norwich City