Is Ukraine a Lost Cause?

This is an automatic summary, original reduced by 95%.

Failure to change not only represents a serious risk to Ukraine's security, pushing the country toward the status of a failed state, but also-and more seriously-puts at risk Ukraine's ability to continue to exist as an independent, sovereign nation.

In the day-to-day politics of Ukraine's lively democracy and struggles over reform, it's easy to get lost in the details, but in fact more change is happening now than at any time in Ukraine's history.

The unresolved war in eastern Ukraine, a by-and-large stalled domestic reform process, a divided executive, a weak parliament, the lack of a functioning opposition, and a disenchanted public are the component parts of Ukraine's current crisis.

A second cause, Ukraine's reform, is not winnable in timescales congenial to Ukraine's Western backers.

At the same time, the 2013-2014 Maidan revolution was an inspiring expression of civil society's demands for a new Ukraine-and yet, the revolution produced nonrevolutionary leaders who were actors in the old Ukraine, although clearly committed to a European future for Ukraine.

Given the stakes for Western interests, the West needs to continue to both prod and support Ukraine's leaders today, while continuing to lay the groundwork for a decisive movement of Ukraine toward Europe in the coming decade.

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