73-bet pot 2/5 live 6 handed vs good reg

I count 3-bets, not 73.

I'm probably folding here, unless he's having one of his spewtard nights. Depends what his overbet tendencies are though. If he tends to only do it as a bluff, that may turn this into a call.

He's telling a very convincing story for having 99/QQ/KK/AA.

I'm probably not calling this. I think he knows you have approx what you have and are really tempted to look him up cause he's probably spazzed out in front of you before. Personally, I'm probably getting to this spot with 3 different sets (44,55,99 at least) and probably 67s, so from a GTO perspective I wouldn't feel particularly compelled to call this hand at all.

I mean, you can list potential bluffs all day, but unless you have some dead-read on this guy I think you should be letting this particular one go. This isn't a spot where there's some magic way of figuring out through text whether you should call or not, so you really just have to make a decision. The one big argument in favor of calling is his weak turn sizing, which kind of makes me think he was trying to gauge how strong you were with his bet or perhaps set his own price for a draw.

i read 73bet and was waiting for some waterboat level shit

It's pretty hard for V to have bluffs here unless he's in his complete spewtard mood and you think he will triple barrel complete air. IDK if V is gunna overjam riv with AA/KK when we're gunna have 44/55/99 almost as much as we're gunna have AQ in this spot. We block QQ but 99 makes a lot of sense, also given his sizings 67s makes sense if you think he would ever squeeze this. Def folding here unless we're sure V is steaming and even then it's close.

Thanks for the feedback. I did end up folding and villain turned over one card the 7 of clubs so he was most likely bluffing or had 67. I appreciate the advice guys.

"He can have a very wide range of hands that he has been know to 3 bet squeeze" No idea why you would want to flat instead of 4bet when this is your read. You should have tons of other hands in your range you can flat with (mostly suited broadways), and hands we want to 4b/gii for value (AK+ QQ+), so we should have a few 4bet/folds and AQo is perfect for that (Strong hand with Ace blocker, tough to play in multiway pots without initiative, well ahead of BBs squeeze range). BTN is almost always calling when you flat and almost always folding when you 4b. So if we don't 4b we are usually taking AQo multiway vs 2 wide/live ranges (meh). If we do 4b we can take the pot down pre or give villain a chance to make a mistake by flatting hands we are well ahead of. There is really no need to be scared of being 5b bluffed. Absolutely no reason to flat pre, this is a very clear 4bet imo.

lol I so wanted to see a 73-bet pot :) I think against a person I respect to be able to do big moves I lean towards calling on such an awesome runout. I might be wrong but good agressive kind of player would probably triple barrel all his heart FDs (AKh, KJh, KTs, and others, it depends on how much he squeezes OOP) on turn and maybe hands like KJo, JT or KTo he also barrels. He also might think that you are peeling turn wide (with all pairs for example) so his river bet becomes very profitable if he puts your calling range on 2pair (which I assume you have almost never (maybe Q9s or 45s)) and better because you are basically folding all the time. It sucks that you are faced with 2x pot bet on river but you are so strong and you are blocking AA combos and you dont block A high FDs. Overrall I think I call, the only thing that would fuck with my mind would be his small turn bet which really doesnt make sense to me with any hand given that he is OOP and deep. If you are beat I think the hand that makes most sense to me is A2hh or 67hh (but I have no idea if he squeezes those hands) and he bet small on turn to get cheap price to see river and now is just bombing the river with nuts. But if he bets draws small on the turn there are many missed draws also which he might bomb on the river thinking that he gets you off top pair most of the time. Cool hand

snap fold we have way better hands to call. when he over jams we only need a few combos and we have all sets as well as AA and KK.

Take with grain of salt. If I was Villian, I would think your range on river is 44/55/99/QQ (sometimes)/KK (sometimes)/AQ/KQ(?) and sometimes QJs (though most likely not) and sometime 76s should you open/flat this hand pre. I would think AA

So you have 12 combos of sets. 4 combos of straights. So basically 16 combos of hands you're never folding. Also you have anywhere from.. 20-26 combos of 1 pair hands, which if he bombs for full pot (or 3/4th pot), it'd be tough for you to call anyways.

Also, He's betting 1k into 555. So 1k into 1555 for you to call. Which means you need to be right near 40% to break-even.

Unless he is a massive spewtard, I can't see 1 pair being good here 40% of the time. He either has 99, QQ, 76, or 66/77 and being a total level war and basically say he can't call without a straight and he has 2 of the blockers in his hand. (Edit, he could have 7hxh as well, probably less likely he has 77/66..)

I think the minimum call range here is 99 but I wouldn't be too happy about it.