New players - Its time to remove hero rotations and make every hero free to play (with maths)

I have recently seen this point come up in a few posts about new players getting into the game and acquiring heroes. Most of the responses about the rate of getting heroes were "it's not so bad". Get RAF (lots of new players will not realize this exists). I didn't with people saying it was alright so I thought i'd look at the math.

 

XP needed to get to account level 40: 33,375,000xp

 

XP for QM. Assuming 50% win rate for 25k average bonus. Average game length of 20 min. Team level ~23 for 100k XP: 125,000xp

 

Total XP to get a new hero to level 5: 775,000xp

 

Gold per day average from daily quests: 355g

 

Gold per win. Assuming 50% win rate: 25g

 

Gold reward from leveling account from 0 to 40: 14,000g

 

Lets say in this HIGHLY UNREALISTIC scenario a new player starts up Hots and decides to try it out by playing 3 hours every day for 30 days. At the end of 30 days what does this new player have to show for his time? This is rather important in my opinion since we want to really hook new players into the game as quickly as possible.

 

Total XP: 125k (QM XP) * 3 (games/hr) * 3 (hr/day) * 30 (days) = 33,750,000. Just enough for acct lvl 40.

 

Total Gold: 14,000 (acct lvl 40) + 6,750 (25g x 270 games) + 10,650 (30 days of quests at 355g) + 21,500 (43 heroes to lvl 5) = 52,900g.

 

As of right now the total cost of all heroes in the game is 382,000 which comes out to 6,945 gold average. Thus a new player ... playing 3 hours a day for 30 days straight will own a grand total of ~7.5 heroes. out of 55 total heroes.

 

You are free to come to your own conclusions (and my math could be wrong) but this seems EXTREMELY underwhelming. After 90 hours of play someone will own a handful of heroes... is this really enough to entice new players to stay with the game? I honestly believe the games need to switch to every single hero being free to play in VS AI and training. and people can purchase heroes to play in other game modes.. IN ADDITION to doubling the current gold bonuses. This would translate to 15 heroes at the end of 90 hours which seems more reasonable.

 

TLDR: new acct plays 90 hours owns 7.5 heroes... please buff.