4-day GFS run predicting major snowstorm over northern Minnesota

4-day GFS run predicting major snowstorm over northern Minnesota

Posted Nov 15, 2016, 6:45 PM UTC

476
Pasalacqua87•

Forgive me for not knowing how snow storms work, but what are the chances of this passing the Great Lakes and bring lake effect snow to Ohio?

4
H-townwx91•

Lake effect is already in the forecast from Kalamazoo to Ann Arbor. GFS and Euro going hard at it but I doubt much will stick

3
LarryFlyntstone•

The Cleveland NWS Forecast Discussion had this to say. No word on accumulation estimates though.

For Saturday will have likely pops east and chance pops west. Would expect rain at first with a mix at some point during the afternoon as the colder air moves in. Surface temps should remain above freezing through the day so no accums. Saturday night will carry a mix into the evening but at some point...and it may be early...would expect a transition to snow especially away from the lake. in fact will keep a mix close to the lakeshore through the night.

3
Pasalacqua87•

Thanks!

1
life_questions•

After the storm gets to the rockies it looks like the models are showing it picking up more moisture from the gulf. That plus the cold air it is bringing from the north could spell serious levels of snow for the upper midwest

2
wickedplayer494•

For fuck's sakes, why did even the GFS have to jump on board the progressive train and dump it on northern Ontario/Minnesota instead of Manitoba?

2