4-day GFS run predicting major snowstorm over northern Minnesota

Posted Nov 15, 2016, 6:45 PM UTC
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Posted Nov 15, 2016, 6:45 PM UTC
After the storm gets to the rockies it looks like the models are showing it picking up more moisture from the gulf. That plus the cold air it is bringing from the north could spell serious levels of snow for the upper midwest
For fuck's sakes, why did even the GFS have to jump on board the progressive train and dump it on northern Ontario/Minnesota instead of Manitoba?
Forgive me for not knowing how snow storms work, but what are the chances of this passing the Great Lakes and bring lake effect snow to Ohio?
Lake effect is already in the forecast from Kalamazoo to Ann Arbor. GFS and Euro going hard at it but I doubt much will stick
The Cleveland NWS Forecast Discussion had this to say. No word on accumulation estimates though.
Thanks!