There seems to be so much smoke and mirrors in regards to oil production/projections that I can't seem to accept any info that I see 100%. 



What even the premier purveyors of doom, the Peak Oilers failed to recognize is that it is not simply  a peak in energy production that precipitates a peak in economic activity.  The sure peak [killer] of economic growth occurred with Peak Work, the effective amount of productive economic activity that is realized after all of the losses incurred from increasing complexities [I call it friction] are subtracted.

~toktomi~ 

World Crude Oil Production, 2013 - 2017. That's really starting to look like a peak.