7/16 To Catch a Milwaukee Brewer
We are going to run the Brewers down like we're the Freeze.
The Brewers are currently 52-42 in 94 games, with 68 games remaining.
The Cubs are currently 46-45 in 91 games, with 71 games remaining.
The chart below shows how well the Cubs have to play to tie the Brewers (right 4 columns), depending on how well the Brewers play (left 4 columns) in the remainder of the season.
| W | L | r/Brewers % | 162-GM Pace | W | L | r/ChiCubs% | 162-GM Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 40 | 0.412 | 66.7 | 34 | 37 | 0.479 | 77.6 |
| 29 | 39 | 0.426 | 69.1 | 35 | 36 | 0.493 | 79.9 |
| 30 | 38 | 0.441 | 71.5 | 36 | 35 | 0.507 | 82.1 |
| 31 | 37 | 0.456 | 73.9 | 37 | 34 | 0.521 | 84.4 |
| 32 | 36 | 0.471 | 76.2 | 38 | 33 | 0.535 | 86.7 |
| 33 | 35 | 0.485 | 78.6 | 39 | 32 | 0.549 | 89.0 |
| 34 | 34 | 0.500 | 81.0 | 40 | 31 | 0.563 | 91.3 |
| 35 | 33 | 0.515 | 83.4 | 41 | 30 | 0.577 | 93.5 |
| 36 | 32 | 0.529 | 85.8 | 42 | 29 | 0.592 | 95.8 |
| 37 | 31 | 0.544 | 88.1 | 43 | 28 | 0.606 | 98.1 |
| 38 | 30 | 0.559 | 90.5 | 44 | 27 | 0.620 | 100.4 |
| 39 | 29 | 0.574 | 92.9 | 45 | 26 | 0.634 | 102.7 |
| 40 | 28 | 0.588 | 95.3 | 46 | 25 | 0.648 | 105.0 |
| 41 | 27 | 0.603 | 97.7 | 47 | 24 | 0.662 | 107.2 |
| 42 | 26 | 0.618 | 100.1 | 48 | 23 | 0.676 | 109.5 |
| 43 | 25 | 0.632 | 102.4 | 49 | 22 | 0.690 | 111.8 |
| 44 | 24 | 0.647 | 104.8 | 50 | 21 | 0.704 | 114.1 |
| 45 | 23 | 0.662 | 107.2 | 51 | 20 | 0.718 | 116.4 |
| 46 | 22 | 0.676 | 109.6 | 52 | 19 | 0.732 | 118.6 |
If the Brewers keep their current pace, the Cubs have to finish the season at a 100.4 win pace.
Posted Jul 16, 2017, 9:32 PM UTC · edited
107