Topps is making so many cards, 100s of different variations alone of Vlad Jr.
Is this going to crash the market again like it did back then? My prediction is yes.
Posted Aug 10, 2019, 7:33 PM UTC
Probably not junk wax era. But it is definitely pointing towards a crash. There’s so much overproduction right now it’s ridiculous.
I think so. It’s only a matter of time
Some of the Topps line has seen production increase of around 30% or more compared to last year, Chrome, Bowman mega boxes, etc. If they keep upping the production each year then we will experience a new junk wax era.
Most common cards already go for $1 a pop, if that. So unless autographs and memorabilia all of a sudden lose value after being sought after for all of human existence, I doubt it.
Probably. You know why the Trout rookie is so valuable? There weren't 100s of different variations/inserts of his rookie. There was the 2011 Update, a few parallels, and that's it. He wasn't in Chrome, he wasn't in Archives, he wasn't in Heritage (he was in Minor League Heritage but not the normal release), etc. And there was no on-demand ones with 25+ different versions. All he had were Update and Bowman.
For instance, on COMC, there are 29 Trout cards from 2011 on the site -- 15 of those are different types. Shohei Ohtani has an insane 931 cards from last year listed on COMC. In Update alone, he has about 33 different types of cards when you count base + inserts.
Edit: There are up to 23 different variations of base cards in Chrome alone. That's insane! Source: https://www.beckett.com/news/2019-topps-chrome-baseball-refractors-guide/