Source
r/wallstreetbets•
perfectentry1

What Dead Cat Bounce?

Shitpost

Hey guys,

I know the last couple of weeks has been a nightmare to trade, driving both Bulls and Bears to the edge of insanity.

At this point, everyone, and I do mean everyone thinks they have this shit finally figured out. Everyone from the CNBC pundits to the crayon wielding retards of this very sub -shit, even the r/all normies- everyone is calling for the exact same thing right now.

A classic Dead Cat Bounce. Basically, the immediate resumption of massive downward selling pressure in the market.

I don't have all the pretty drawings and 10,000 words to 'prove' my point, but I do know this much;

If everyone is expecting the exact same market movement, there is a nearly ZERO chance that things are going to unfold that way.

Market has been fucking almost everyone recently, and it's about to get worse if you subscribe to the classic dead cat bounce theory.

What am I expecting instead? I think that dead cat is going to bounce off of a trampoline from here, THEN we resume massive selling pressure. Basically, slightly sideways/downward movement for a couple of days, and then the reckoning. A Bull rally so large and so sudden, it's going to leave the Gay Bears completely lifeless.

After all the shorts get wiped off the face of the earth, that's when we return to the regularly scheduled selloff.

Posted Apr 1, 2020, 5:35 PM UTC

1680
MrCreateWealtheuroskeptic•

Okay do this and post loss porn

71
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

no problem. I'm waiting for my entry. When I buy calls, and get wrecked, I'll make sure to post it here for your enjoyment

14
SolitaryEgg•

If everyone is expecting the exact same market movement, there is a nearly ZERO chance that things are going to unfold that way.

Yeah that's not how that works, lmao.

If literally everyone thinks there will be a downturn, everyone will sell, which causes the downturn.

Don't be a fucking "iNvErSe eVeRyOnE" autist

67
spectaculibus•

Inverse everyone is just a posh way of saying, “I think I’m smarter than the markets”. I for one hope that he goes through with this autistic play, the loss porn will be glorious.

6
noentic•

I guess it only works if StOnKs OnLy Go Up!

4
traderchile•

“If literally everyone thinks there will be a downturn, everyone will sell, which causes the downturn.”

Nope...for every seller the system needs a buyer. If no one wants to buy there is no chance that the price moves

-5
danpascoochLobsters taste with their feet•

Nope...for every seller the system needs a buyer. If no one wants to buy there is no chance that the price moves

When there's a bunch of sellers trying to offload assets and nobody is willing to buy them at the current price, what do you think happens to the price they are trying to sell at?

I'll wait in case you want to phone a smart friend or send the question to NASA.

8
traderchile•

Hey Mr. smart ass...that’s the reason market makers exist. They take positions no one wants at a discount and keeps them until some one is willing to take them. If literally NO ONE wants to buy there is no chance the transaction is made

-1
danpascoochLobsters taste with their feet•

We're talking about market movements not investing in some zero volume penny stock, if we run out of willing buyers for SPY no matter what price the sellers drop to then it's the end of the world.

4
SolitaryEgg•

dude, holy shit.

https://www.disnat.com/en/learning/trading-basics/stock-basics/what-causes-stock-prices-to-change

Stock prices change everyday by market forces. By this we mean that share prices change because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it (supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall.

why on earth are you trading if you don't even know how supply and demand works. im legit astonished that I had to post that link.

2
ncreddituser•

Dead cat bounce on my dick

34
erikwarm•

Bounce kitty bounce bounce

9
AdjustedMold97•

Your argument is literally “I disagree with the popular sentiment of the market right now.” You don’t have any evidence for this claim at all except for, at best, your gut. This is TRULY retarded.

33
Dmajirb•

His argument is loosely based on Max Pain theory, which is not retarded in fact holds true more often than not.

That being said op IS retarded for posting his thoughts in this sub instead of the diamond-hands|loss/gain-porn|BAN|logo-critique|funny|general-idiocy this sub rewards and deserves.

1
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

oh, ok

-2†
8HokiePokie8•

Let me get this straight, you don’t think the 20% rally in three days, THE LARGEST 3 DAY GAIN IN HISTORY, was the real behemoth rally in this market? 😂

3
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Holy fuck. Are you guys seriously so autistic you can't grasp a very simple paragraph, written in very basic English? When did I ever say the rally that is likely coming shortly would be larger than the one we just had? What I said was, expect to continue to get fucked by the market. It's not going to be a simple straight down classic dead cat bounce from here!

-3
noentic•

Uh, thanks for your opinion.

​

If you aren't all in on calls BAN.

23
Co-Deck22•

Do SDS calls count?

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Every retard in the sub shouting "You're wrong. AND retarded! BAN"

Fuck, I love you guys

-4†
HypnoToad121•

We love you too, booboo.

1
mxdSirty•

You may want to get your cat checked out if it’s dead

15
secretlyyourgrandma•

your thesis is if everyone here doesn't think you're a moron, you're wrong. but you're even wrong about that.

6
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Ok?

-1
Seapieaj•

Fine I’ll only buy puts using 99% of my portfolio in case I am wrong. The chances that I am wrong are only 85% and as you can see 85 is less than 99 so this strategy should work

6
Light5567•

that made my stomach turn,

​

fuck it i'm in

3
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Just watch for the possibility. That's all I'm saying.

1
Light5567•

expect the unexpected, i like it

1
ThatOneDrunkUncle•

Isn't the market the aggregate sentiment of all participants? Isn't a lot of downward pressure due to short selling? Wouldn't this indicate that if everyone thinks this is a dead cat bounce, that's what it will be. Schrodinger's dead cat bounce if you will

3
Retreao•

I agree on the side movement for a few days. I was thinking the same thing. That's what my crystal ball, I mean charts are saying to me.

3
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

One more guy at least willing to open their mind to alternate possibilities. Some gold for you as well my friend.

2
CrumZaddy•

couldn’t be more on point

3
Retreao•

I dont have an open mind. Following the news and people have always fucked me, follow the numbers and the patterns never has.

2
-Toroth•

Does no on this sub know how to read a macd indicator? Just look at the 1 month all chart for the dow and spy via tradingview.

2
CptGusMcCrae•

So we're in for a downswing until macd goes into the red? Is that what you see?

1
[deleted]•

[removed]

1
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

feel free to post a link buddy

0
-Toroth•

I'm not your buddy pal

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TVC:DJI

1
Kire29•

I'm not your pal guy

2
[deleted]•

[deleted]

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Thanks for your wonderful addition to the conversation

0
Stegton•

Luckily there is plenty of retards like you that don't want to see the obvious.

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

hmmm.... very thought provoking argument you've made. Fuck it. I'm all in

3
kashflowzsub grandma•

Yesss

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

welp, the one guy in the sub that's willing to listen to the possibility. Some gold for you my friend.

-3
kashflowzsub grandma•

STONKS 📈

am long GLD

0
throwaway9732121•

that's some solid guessing. Sign me up!

2
cristinamurray•

I think you are close to the truth. We will touch bottom again but the bounce back will be big, because hedge funds will be buying the recovery in 5 years. Stocks on discount yadda yadda.

People really underestimate how ingrained the BTFD mentality is in the industry after a 13 year bull market.

2
FaithfulAutist•

At the expense of the common poors, billionaire MMs will buy their way out of the recession when they're ready lol. So fuck it, I'm in lol.

2
Francoco47•

My partner and I agree.

We are about to see what we have never seen before. I have loaded up on sooo many calls for May-July.

I do believe we are the autist that will rule r/wallstreetbets

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Damn. Good luck out there and happy trading.

1
LikeMyekal•

SPY 270. Eod today was a small taste, just small enough to keep the bears holding. I cannot wait for this face ripper.🌈🐻’s are fukt tomorrow! There’s never been a more appropriate time to say it!

2
perfectentry1OP📉🤷can't go tits up•

Always stay humble my friend

1