Why was Biden's win calculated to be ONE IN A QUADRILLION?
Posted Dec 18, 2020, 4:51 PM UTC
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Wait that's it? They were literally just using in person voting to predict mail in ballots? How are these stats proofs getting even more braindead? This feels more like a simple example for bad stats in an intro to stats textbook than an argument believed by half of america.
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How are these stats proofs getting even more braindead?
Because only the headline matters
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The second he brought up the number, I thought, "Oh, God, don't tell me they're assuming that the voters that voted earlier have the same statistical characteristics as the voters that voted later." And they did. And then when he brought up the four states, I thought, "Oh, God, don't tell me they're assuming that the outcomes in all four states are statistically independent." And they did.
This country is retarded and deserves nothing short of total nuclear annihilation at the hands of China.
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R word tonyW
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"Total nuclear annihilation" understandable. "R word" feelsweirdman
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this but unironically
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Lick my gooch sweat.
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They also assumed that 2020 should be the same as 2016 for whatever reason
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Dream's election strategy in action.
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I mean Biden has not gotten a single vote in previous elections. What are the chances of him getting 80 million votes now all of a sudden?! This shit is rigged.
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drew
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An actual person with a PhD agreed to do this shitty math to help the lawsuit. There's no way these high school level stat errors were unintentional mistakes.
Selling your academic integrity to help Trump. Absolutely shameless
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2020 has taught me that apparently any dipshit can become a lawyer or get a doctorate.
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Which is a nice follow up to 2016 teaching me that apparently any dipshit can become president.
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Yeah i mean even sweatstiny got a 184 on LSATs
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I don't really think it has anything to do with competence. This guy probably knew it was all bullshit but wanted to make his mula anyways. Gotta respect the grift
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Well if you read the actual statement, the PHD tries to cover his bases by writing "if you assume X" where Xnis something that is obviously not true at the beginning of each paragraph. But it gives him some plausible deniability. Though he does generally say at the end that he thinks all of those obviously false statements are actually true...
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If i got paid 500k i might do the same tbh..
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This is well, well below highschool stats...
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https://youtu.be/ua5aOFi-DKs?t=703 Best part of the video. You could get a kid doing AP stats to do a better job than these dumbasses. The fact that this is being backed by 126 House Republicans, 19 Attorneys Generals and the POTUS is embarrassing.
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It's called conservative maths. It's when you do maths, and the number sort of add up, but it doesn't actually make sense.
Would call it Parker maths, but he's too good for that.
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It's relative to the amount of copium trumples are consuming.