Ever thought about how much shares the apes of Superstonk own? I have calculated the lowest possible amount that we collectively own. Very happy with the results :)

Education πŸ‘¨β€πŸ« | Data πŸ”’

EDIT: u/serbeardless brings up a good point. The float is now 30 million, not 26.5 million assuming we add the 3.5 million GME sold.

That would bring the math to ~50% on the example in my TLDR

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TLDR:

I have calculated the lowest possible amount of shares that we own of the float. I guarantee it cannot be lower than this because I have purposely assumed some extremely bearish shit just to show that even doing shill-math-vibes that we are still holding onto a seriously yummy bag of tendies.

Use this in the future should the FUD cloud your emotional sanity and judgement. This is the absolute lowest value for what Superstonk exclusive apes own.

So..........

If r/superstonk were the only group of apes on the planet who knew what was going on with GME, and within that group, only 75% of us actually owned GME (Gaussian Distribution xx ape majority at 50%). WE'D STILL OWN 55% OF THE FLOAT. Add r/Wallstreetbets + r/GME + Twitter + my dad + my girlfriend + my girlfriend's friend from her class who's literally never heard of reddit before, and MAN you have a seriously heavy soup of idiots going to Tendieland.

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Okay so again, I had to make a lot of assumptions for this one so let's talk about those first. Please help me better my DD if you find anything, I'll update it live if there's any improvement I can do.

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  • Assumed only Superstonk apes are a part of the fight
  • Assumed only 90%, 75%, and 60% actually had balls enough to buy GME
  • For the Gaussian Distribution, I created 3 separate scenarios (thin, med, broad) for each situation
  • Float is 26 M still right? lemme know if that one changed lol
  • This one is a huge assumption: all x, xx, xxx, xxxx = 1, 10, 100, 1000. This makes it extra bearish.
  • I omitted "xxxxx+" apes just to make it even more bearish of a situation

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Here's my graph shit:

https://preview.redd.it/kyhokpys18y61.png?width=1816&format=png&auto=webp&s=088850ba8992582e1b3f5e03a1cc2ed9323e6f3c

So let's walk through the math real quick:

275k people in Superstonk

i created 3 scenarios:

10% bot rate, 25% bot rate, 40% bot rate --> meaning that I assumed only

90%, 75%, and 60% respectively own GME.

Then I created a distribution column for each situation, making another assumption that the majority by now have xx (10) shares. Then I made a narrow, medium, and broad distribution, which shares the load a tad on each column.

As you can see the absolute lowest amount of the float that our fringe group owns in a broad distribution is 43.3% and the max is 64.95%. Again this is math that is trying to make the odds as unfavorable as possible for us as to have ammo against FUDs. There. I just gave you the most FUD math possible and it ain't even bad. If we middle class idiots in Superstonk are the only idiots on the planet following this to the end of a cliff, we still have roughly 50% on our own. Now you toss in a few hundred xx,xxx and xxx,xxx apes JUST from Superstonk and Jesus Christ. We don't even need to stress about other communities HODLing, we're a pretty strong community as is.

Hope this calms the team down for a bit, I look forward to battle with you all tomorrow!

Be excellent!

Posted May 10, 2021, 4:25 AM UTC Β· edited

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