Did I misplay this hand?
100NL online
Stacks:
Hero: 165.00
Villain: 404.96
UTG Opens to 3. CO and BUT call. Hero 3bet AsAh to 14. Only BUT calls
Flop: (Pot = 35)
9d Qh 4c
Hero cbets 20. Villain calls.
Turn: (Pot = 75)
9d Qh 4c Jd
Hero checks to villain who bets half pot, 42.50. Hero rips for 131. Villain snap calls.
River:
9d Qh 4c Jd Ad
Villain turns over KTo
Is this a better spot to flat on the turn? Villain could have QQ and JJ or QJ. But Villain could also have some KQdd AdX QT JT type hands. Or am I just overthinking this and it's just a cooler? Thoughts on this spot?
Posted Jun 24, 2021, 6:52 PM UTC · edited
Preflop, this 3bet is too small. Pot is 16.5 and you're OOP, so perhaps 18 is better. I see a few commenters saying you shouldn't fear the KT because it's not in the BU 3bet call range, but they aren't factoring in the great price you gave button. He had to call 11 to win 35, and almost any hand he called UTG open and one call with will have the 31.4% equity needed to make this call. Your small 3bet opened up the punish. He may have folded to a properly sized 3bet.
Flop was perfect. Turn check was correct, since the J interacts with BU better than our range, and gives him the nut advantage.
Hate the jam. You say villain could have KQ, AdX, QT and JT, which is true, but then you definitely don't want to jam. Those hands are all drawing thin and will likely fold to a jam. The only thing calling jams are hands that beat you. This is a straightforward overplay of AA.
Having said all of that, it was a cooler. Standard play is call turn, then call his river jam when you make top set. Ace doesn't change much since the flush was one of the three backdoors and you were losing to KT before the river. You were losing your money anyway, but the way you lost it was not necessary.
I think this response sums up the way the hand should've been played, the best. I agree with the sizing pre and the fact that jamming turn isn't ideal if I want a call from worse. Thanks for the response.