r/ufc•
Booooml

Secret czech fighter?

Secret czech fighter?

Posted Apr 5, 2022, 7:52 AM UTC

3276
[deleted]•

This fight is a complete nightmare to pick a line you can make money on.

I'm leaning Chimaev by decision but I can see him doing his thing in one round.

Maybe Burns shows some high level jiu-jitsu and submits him off of his back.

Despite the odds, it seems like a coin toss.

14
Jdilla23•

Agree. So much value on Burns. $4.90 odds implies a 20% chance he wins LOL!!

4
VeterinarianNo5862•

What does that last sentence even mean?

5
Jdilla23•

$4.90 is how betting odds are quoted in Australia.

$1 bet returns $4.90 (Burns).

1/$4.90 = 20% probability odds makers give Burns to win (which I think is lower then it should be).

2
VeterinarianNo5862•

Ah right it’s the odds. In the UK we’d call that 3.9/1. You put the second number on (1) and win the first number (3.9) plus your stake back (3.9+1=4.90).

It doesn’t indicate any percent chance of winning though, or even a perceived chance. It’s about how many people are backing him or Khamzat.

If I placed £100m on Burns now his odds would drop, but his chance of winning is the exact same.

2
[deleted]•

A coin toss means it is a 50/50 matchup; despite the odds that is the way I see it, right now.

I also see Chimaev steamrolling Burns.

I also see Burns subbing Chimaev.

As I said, this match is a damn nightmare for picks, especially big money picks.

I'll put $1,000, no question; it's just on what.

2
SamuelJaxsun•

Round 1 plus money is best play imo Borz is hungry and will make a statement

1
IBetOnMMA•

Under 2.5 at -160 was a pretty easy pick before the under lines blew up

1
[deleted]•

Yeah; the chances of the fight not going the distance is probably the most likely outcome of them all, but you never know.

1
IBetOnMMA•

I wouldn't touch it at the odds it is now for sure but yeah pretty likely

1
[deleted]•

You just have to bet more if the odds are low, but the probability of the bet hitting is high.

1
[deleted]•

Yeah; Ladbrokes has the fight not going the distance at $1.28.

1
bougienative•

What's the secret? I'm lost as to the point of your post.

4
Tuckatronic•

Czechia is the Czech Republic. Khamzat is from chechnya.

20
VeterinarianNo5862•

To add confusion Chechnya is also referred to as the Chechen Republic.

8
bougienative•

Ah! Thank you for the explanation, I genuinely would have never noticed the difference, as sad as that is to say.

7
BoooomlOP•

Nah its alright, lots of people confuse them. Its just interesting that UFC made a mistake in this.

1

Thanks lol... most people don’t understand that these two countries are thousands of kms apart

3
[deleted]•

[removed]

1
ionlyspeakfactz•

Czechia is a country in Europe. Eastern Europe to be exact.

Khamzat is from Chechnya which is a region in Russia.

I never even realised how confusing this would be to people who weren’t already aware

-1†
mr_splashumImmigrant mentality Stiopic•

They should hire fans to do the typing on these websites. At least then they'd get it right

3
james3852•

Khamzat is Sweden 🇸🇪

3
Bigez40•

No hes a person

-1
xIMxMCLOVINx•

Chamzat by ko/tko or decision is the bet I’ll be placing. Have never bet a “double chance” line but I can see him getting it done every way but submission.

2
[deleted]•

[removed]

1
TatguyVik•

Gilbert is not 5‘10 lmfao same as Usman isn‘t 6ft

1
Pissleri•

reach?

1