2022 Italian GP FP2 top 5 telemetry and top 10 race sims: Ferrari close in quali, RBR has a decent pace advantage in race trim.

SAI v VER

1. Top speed very similar between the 2 cars, just 4kph into T1, SAI had no tow, neither did VER, 4kph difference which is smaller than FP1 although Ferrari appears to be running more DF in FP2.
2. Traction out of T2 still is an issue for Ferrari
3. RBR is lower RPM and lower speed here, the reason is that VER had 2 cars on the outside of the right hander and couldn't use the whole track properly
4. This top speed deficit here is due to traction out of the Lesmo corners
5. Once again out of Ascari Ferrari is paying their rigidity on exit since cars here take a really good look at the kerb.
6. RBR isn't pushing their engine too much here, or maybe they are running out of deployment a bit, but I would say the engine can probably go a bit harder.
7. Here VER takes a later shift and loses a tiny bit at the end of the straight.

The relaxed 2 last straights lose some time for RBR but overall marginal, RBR superior traction will carry them.

SAI v LEC

1. LEC on older tires (had to abort first lap due to oversteer/understeer, then due to red flag and finally the lap), so his braking point suffers compared to SAI. His S1 time here is much worse than what he did on mediums in the same session by 0.3s, not sure what changed between the medium tire run and the soft tire run.
2. Again the tire issue means that LEC can only put down the throttle a bit later. Otherwise LEC's lap is faster than SAI except for the first corner where LEC suffers under braking, and actually through the whole session LEC and SAI went long a few times into T1.

SAI v NOR

1. Top speed of NOR is pretty good, engine RPM is lower compared to what we'll see for RUS later. I think this is a very low DF McLaren with the engine turned down.
2. Traction and speed in the Lesmo corners is what makes me believe it's lower DF than Ferrari.

SAI v RUS

1. No more clipping like in FP1, as said earlier about NOR, the RPM of the Mercedes engine is higher here so the engine mode is probably equivalent between Ferrari and Mercedes.
2. Braking performance into T1 is a bit worse, again a commonality with FP1 where early in the lap Mercedes has issues with braking.
3. The lower DF wing from Mercedes is visible here where braking is worse even in other corners.
4. Relaxed finish in the lap

I think they'll be closer come quali, and if they can deal with the balance RUS could be close to LEC in quali, but it seems if they fix speed they lose braking.

top 10 race sims

• LEC had plenty of small mistakes in his race sim, his times looked consistent.
• VER had a fast start of sim, then settled in low 1:26 with little deg, very long stint.
• SAI and PER settled on a slower set of laps than VER by about 0.3s/lap
• RUS pace on the softs was fairly bad, 1s/lap slower than LEC, would be interesting to know why
• ALO massively consistent pace for a long stint, slightly slower than the Mercs, about 1s/lap slower than VER.
• OCO on the hards showing the hard is maybe not the tire to go.
• NOR has good tire degradation but slower on pace than this group, probably closing out the top 10 Sunday.
• ALB is fairly slow.

VER still has good chance to win it Sunday, Ferrari doesn't look as bad as it was in the previous races though.