[NFL] What is the likelihood of another perfect season?

Sports

Hey!

So being from south Florida, the Dolphins just celebrated 50 years since The Perfect Season. I’m curious how close we can get with the Eagles this year. I hope the team will look into this and do some statistical analysis on it.

One data point is a perfect regular season, another a perfect regular & playoffs, and then fully perfect with the Super Bowl win.

Posted Nov 8, 2022, 6:36 PM UTC

205
fluffyglof•

Bad time for nfl question buddy

35
WorkingConnectionOP•

I know. Trying to stay less stressed about the election

30
mrpodo•

I'd say it's always less than 1% chance odds. Every season that passes without a perfect team shows how increasingly unlikely it is to have a perfect season in the NFL

11
hypotyposis•

I’ll go against the grain here. I’d say very likely. Look how many 15-1 teams we’ve had and even a 16-0 team. Some of those single losses could easily go the other way. I’ll say we will have a perfect season within the next 20 years.

3
sometimeserin•

According to the model they've currently got a bit less than a 5% chance to win all their remaining games in the regular season, and a bit less than a 20% chance to win the Super Bowl. Now, those things aren't independent--going 17-0 would guarantee a 1st round bye which would boost their Super Bowl odds even higher. Based on that, I'd guess it's currently somewhere between 1% and 2%

2