Spotrac has our projected payroll at $123 million, and they say that takes into account arb estimates...but that is clearly wrong if you add up the veteran contracts at the top of the list.
So assuming Bogey opts out (and not assuming that we decline Paxton's option), our money on the books goes to $103 million. Then I just added the listed arb estimates for each arb-qualified player. Some players don't have estimates, and I gave them very liberal totals (like giving Darwinzon $1 million, which is about the same as McGuire, who is obviously more valuable). This gave me a grand total of $145 million, which puts us $88 million under the luxury tax.
Anyone have a better estimate? I've j
