ajfa

I've been building [CielStay](https://www.cielstay.com) — a semantic discovery platform for vacation rentals that finds properties by personality and vibe rather than checkboxes using a matching concept I call "Resonance". It's in alpha mode, but we have ~64K listings across 61 countries, cross-linking OTA (Airbnb, Vrbo, Booking.com) and direct sites. This service is currently 100% free.

I set up llms.txt at [cielstay.com/llms.txt](https://www.cielstay.com/llms.txt) with full API documentation so Claude agents could search our inventory. Then I tried to actually use it.

**What I expect

Energy stocks seemed to be on a bull run until Dec 10, and they've been down or flat ever since.

Take a look at ERX, or pretty much any oil stock in the last 6 months.
Anyone know what's going on? I suppose there are three competing stories:
- very short term: bear, because of COVID
- medium term: bull, because of vaccine and recovery in demand
- long term: bear, because of a Biden administration and mounting political pressure

What's your opinion? Buy oil stocks, or TSLA at 1400 PE?

I happen to agree with the sentiment in this article.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-one-way-market-battered-retirees-can-sleep-better-2020-05-13

Most of the time I've lost money in equities was when I ignored my gut instinct to sell high, and instead waited day after day while my mutual funds tanked, then panicked and sold low only to see it recover. Maybe those funds will recover eventually (i.e. in 4 years), but that's a huge amount of money lost. And I end up looking at stocks and losing sleep anyway.

**TL;DR: Being a trigger-happy, undisciplined investor without a strategy

Lately we've been seeing a pattern where stocks are flat (or close to flat) during the day, and all the interesting jumps happen after hours.

Not only after hours (pre or post-market, where we can still place limit trades), but specifically pre-pre-market period before 6 AM when mere mortal day traders cannot trade.

Is this due to futures trading? Or is there something else going on?

Thank you for any clarification you can provide!

Am I the only one who thinks the world has gone insane?

The hottest stocks out there are ones with price to earnings ratios of 100+ (or some multiple thereof).

Their only business model is to grow their stock valuation and to put everyone else out of business.

The "real economy" is approaching 25% unemployment and the first drop in real GDP in decades.

CEO's say "nothing to see here, move along, wait until 2021 and maybe earnings will be better".

But people keep buying stocks. Anyone who tries to make money shorting will be drowned out by everyone else's FOMO.

It's like the Fed pointed a gun to our heads and said "buy tulips, or else."

This is not a market anymore.

Made the mistake of disregarding every financial adviser's advice, and sold most of my 401k and Roth when the s&p was down 25%. It then dipped down to 30% but now it's back up.

What should I do? I feel like I'm going to be screwed either way.

Some better advice than "I told you so" would be helpful. Thank you.

Edit / update: Thank you all for your advice (the downvotes don't help too much, but I guess I deserve it?)

More information: I have about 25 years until retirement. ~140k in assets (divorce... don't ask...). Currently 70% in bonds/money market, 10% bought back into the S&P 500 mutual fund, and 20% in a target date 2045 mutual fund.

*To clarify, I didn't take cash out

Here's what I want to know.

The big gains come from short stocks like SH, SPXU, etc. Someone's shorting the market as it tanks.

But, these stocks only rise in pre-premarket hours (i.e. 6 AM -- 7:30 AM), before general investors can even trade in the pre-market session (7:30 -- 9:30), let alone normal trading day.

Then, the instant the market opens, these stocks sell off and someone pockets money.

Can we trust institutions like NYSE, but even our own brokers, if we are not allowed to trade, but others are, when the market makes the biggest swings?

Cisco seems to have hurt more than most tech stocks between the trade war and COVID-19 outbreak. Yet you'd think its products (especially videoconferencing-related, but also 5G rollout) would be more in demand than ever. See the arstechnica article slashdotted yesterday:
https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2020/03/cisco-pitches-in-to-coronavirus-relief-efforts-by-offering-free-webex/

Any insights on why to be more bearish than usual on this and other network-related tech?

Disclosure: I have a small position (<$2k) in this company.
Thanks for p

I used to rely on Costco for this, but they've stopped selling inexpensive, thick cuts of meat. The prices and selection in Dans and Smiths are just sad.

I mostly bbq on the grill, I like thick cuts (but nothing too pricey) suitable for marinade.

Any recommendations? Thanks!

I'm following an auction property that was previously part of a bankruptcy. The property is worth around $450k (even in this overheated market) but the starting bid is $850k.

What will happen? Is this a sign that the bank doesn't want to both with an auction, and wants to do a short sale instead? What would you do if you wanted to make an offer?

Thanks!