Weekly Economic Calendar for 28.09.2026–04.10.2026

Quarter-end week, which matters on its own — large funds rebalancing into the close of September and Q3 can produce moves that have nothing to do with the data. Worth keeping in mind before attributing every candle to a headline.

Monday, September 28 has nothing scheduled.

Tuesday, September 29 opens with the RBA at 04:30. Rate's at 4.35% after May's hike, and with oil prices climbing on the Middle East conflict feeding into inflation, another increase is genuinely on the table. Bullock's press conference follows at 05:30 — some market participants are already pricing 4.85% by year-end. Then US Consumer Confidence at 14:00, last at 89.4.

Wednesday, September 30 is the crowded one. Australian CPI at 01:30 (+3.5% YoY in July, still above the 2–3% target band), Chinese PMIs at 01:30 and 01:45, German retail sales and final UK Q2 GDP at 06:00, German HICP at 12:00. Then the US block: ADP at 12:15, where the trend is the story — 95K in June, 46K in July, 38K in August, a clear deceleration heading into Friday. Final Q2 GDP and Core PCE at 12:30, with the preliminary GDP read at +1.5% and PCE running +3.3% YoY, well above the Fed's 2% target. Japan's Tankan closes it out at 23:50.

Thursday, October 1 brings Swiss CPI at 06:30 and US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00, which has been solidly expansionary — last at 54.6. Tokyo CPI at 23:30.

Friday, October 2 is the main event. Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 (+3.2% YoY last), then US labour market data at 12:30 — payrolls, unemployment, average hourly earnings. The recent record is messy: 57K in June against 129K in May and 148K in April, with downward revisions through the spring. Combine that with a decelerating ADP trend and a soft print is the risk case.

One practical note: Australia switches to daylight saving on Saturday, October 3, so session times shift from next week. If your setup depends on specific hours, check them against UTC rather than assuming.

Not financial advice. Manage your risk.