The attack on the Mazics was intended to fail
TIME FOR SOME OLEK-LEVEL CONSPIRACY THEORY WRITING
Imagine you're the Kolshians, slimy tentacles and all. The war has kicked off between you and the humans, but the there's a problem: Your public military has a moral compass. If the public military interacts with the shadow military, they may start defecting to the humans, spilling Kolshian secrets in the process. You need to get rid of them, but how? If you just have them to sit out on the sidelines people are going to wonder why. Also, you can't disappear, arrest, or diagnose Predator Disease on 6,000 ships worth of troops without the public seriously questioning your excuses. (They're dumb, but not that dumb.) There's only one other solution left: Get them killed in combat.
The plan is to send your public fleet out to glass the Mazic homeworld. If they win, that's one less species to fight. If they lose, you can finally bring out the shadow fleet. Fight happens, but then the unthinkable happens. The humans freaking let a remnant of the public fleet go just so they could save a few hundred million Mazic lives. This is bad. Now not only is the public fleet still around, but now they're back home spreading around stories about how the humans can be bargained with.
You need another way to kill them. The shadow fleet is raring to go and the public fleet is still kicking. Things look bad until you remember that you have another offensive coming up to establish a jumping off point to attack Earth. Why not send them all to go attack every allied world at once? They'd be dead and you get valuable information about each world's defenses.
Time to break the news to the public fleet. You gather them somewhere away from prying eyes and tell them a lie that if they attack all the planets at once, they will be able to break through and do some damage. Some of the troops are resistant to this plan, but you just threaten them with treason. They go off and they die, getting you the data you care about in the process. The few ships that return from the probing attack are destroyed privately by the secret fleet.
The public fleet is now gone. It's now time for the shadow fleet to crank this war up to 11.
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Thank you for reading this. It was fun to write.
Posted May 17, 2023, 2:28 AM UTC
Considering all the predator vs prey crap and genetic manipulation the feds have done, this seems less like a conspiracy theory and more like a probable outcome. Seriously, this would be the tamest thing they've done on a scale of conspiracies.
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On the level of government-sized “players” in the game of life, “conspiracy theories” is just another name for “potential strategies”.