Why _____ Will Win
Jake. I forsee him winning next immunity for the first time, after being a terrible individual immunity player, playing his idol to save Julie, voting out Austin.
Then he wins final immunity, decides to go up against fire making challenge against Dee, wins.
Then sitting next to Katurah who has done nothing, and Julie who for some reason was labeled this big threat, but I don’t think after jake doing all that he’d lose.
He got played for a few votes in a row, but can argue this to his advantage that he was ALWAYS the backup vote. His name was always out there, yet they let him make it to the final 5 and given a chance.
Is this the only scenario he wins? Possibly. Will it happen tonight? Yes.
TL;DR: Boston
Posted Dec 20, 2023, 2:24 PM UTC
285170
Austin seems like a dead man walking, what would be Jakes motivation for not taking him to the end?
How is Austin a dead man walking? He has led, or at least been involved, in all of the major decisions since the merge, except for this most recent one.
He was the only one left out of last vote, and Julie and Dee have more claims to any of his moves than he does.
He’s squandered so much opportunity that and made the wrong move in front of the jury enough that even if he can make it to the end without sitting beside Dee or Julie, I think Jake takes it over him easily, especially if he can make an idol play or beat fire.
We don’t even know if he was out of the last vote. In the above scenario Dee wouldn’t be in the final tribal council. It’s my opinion that Julie hasn’t played that much better of a game than Austin. If any. I also think he’ll do better at FTC than her.
I think if Julie and Austin are in the final three, it’s almost guaranteed Austin is a 0 vote finalist, maybe he gets the 1 vote in a 7-1-0 vote as is tradition in the new era
He’s played one of the worst games ever seen while in a power position
Oof don’t check out this guys comment history.
it’s interesting that julie is the more resounding person to vote out, i didn’t feel that way. maybe i’ve missed something but besides austin’s last two tribals, i feel like he’s had a much stronger game than julie, i guess julie is closer with more people though.
The edit is definitely showing us a lot of Austin, but they also showed us a lot of Xander in 41 and production made the edit seem like Xander stood a shot a winning, but in reality he was a total goat who had no shot of winning at any point.
To me it feels like Austin is getting the Xander edit. He’s a player that production knows casual viewers will love and want to root for, so he gets artificially boosted in the edit, but if you pay attention to his moves and his relationships, he’s got nothing that makes him stand out.
Austin has zero shot at winning.
Agree. He was in such a great position with the powers he held, and if he'd played them or held onto them, I suppose, in a better way, I could see his arc being a more full game player.
Yeah, Austin completely blew his game. Trusted too many/ the wrong people, gave his idol away for not a great reason, and then when he had the chance to partially fix his mistake, he didn’t take the risk.
Drew had an interesting take on this in his exit interview on RHAP. Essentially, the tribe saw Emily as a huge threat following the Bruce blindside. Then in the next tribal, Julie successfully played an idol and voted out “a huge threat”, Emily. Regardless of whether this was Dee’s move or Julie’s move, the jury’s perspective is that Julie made a huge move. I think that’s why the tribe continues to gun for Julie.
good point. i guess because of how i’ve thought about it as always dee’s move because of how it went down, but that isn’t necessarily the case.