Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes
6D Lotto
Lotto 6/42
Mega Lotto 6/45
Super Lotto 6/49
Grand Lotto 6/55
Ultra Lotto 6/58
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ποΈ Jackpot Percentile Ranking β (right-most column of the tables) is quickest way to gauge how high a jackpot is by comparing it to its past jackpot-hit prizes. I used 10 to 13 yearsβ worth of jackpot-hit data (or 4 years for 6D Lotto), sorted from lowest to highest:
- 0% = lowest jackpot-hit prize
- 50% = median jackpot-hit prize (not the average!)
- 100% = highest jackpot-hit prize
So if a jackpot has a 95% ranking, that means only 5% of past jackpot-hit prizes have ever reached that amount. Same idea with 90% β only 10% got that high.
To help visualize:
- π¨ Yellow = 70β79% β ihanda na ang pang taya π΄
- π© Green = 80β89% β fix your lucky numbers π€
- π₯ Red = 90β100% β fully ripe and ready to be hit π
Percentile ranking is calculated using Excelβs =PERCENTRANK.INC() function.
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π Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes β are calculated using the =GROWTH() function of Excel as described here. But I am using a more complex algorithm with more factors, trends, and biases that minimizes error rates across multiple iteration of estimates.
My 6D Lotto estimate forecast has an error rate of about 30% β that's practically unpredictable. While the rests have about 3% error rate. These error rates are based only on the first iteration of each forecast.
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π― Distance to Hit Probability β (left side of the draw-dates) shows how likely a jackpot is to be hit. This is relative only between the last date of the draw and the date besides each hit probability.
Examples as given above tables:
- Lotto 6/42 has 51% chance of being hit between now and the 21st of October.
- Mega Lotto has 50% chance of being hit between now and the 27th of October.
- Super Lotto has 49% chance of being hit between now and the 26th of October.
How it's calculated:
- Estimate number of tickets EACH draw-date,
- Compute the chance of NOT winning per draw,
- Multiply across dates to get cumulative probability,
- This follows a non-homogeneous geometric distribution.
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βοΈ Notes:
- ποΈ Jackpot Percentile Rankings donβt change unless a jackpot is hit β theyβre a stable long-term gauge.
- π― Distance to Hit Probabilities update every draw β so theyβre only good until the next draw happens.
- π Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes β not to brag, but my estimates are slightly more accurate than the ones being shared by PCSO.
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Posted Oct 11, 2025, 7:42 PM UTC