r/LottoPinoyβ€’
CarrotBase

Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes

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Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes

6D Lotto

Forecast up to 100% Ranking

Lotto 6/42

Forecast up to 100% Ranking

Mega Lotto 6/45

2 Months Forecast

Super Lotto 6/49

2 Months Forecast

Grand Lotto 6/55

4 Months Forecast

Ultra Lotto 6/58

4 Months Forecast

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πŸŽ–οΈ Jackpot Percentile Ranking β€” (right-most column of the tables) is quickest way to gauge how high a jackpot is by comparing it to its past jackpot-hit prizes. I used 10 to 13 years’ worth of jackpot-hit data (or 4 years for 6D Lotto), sorted from lowest to highest:

  • 0% = lowest jackpot-hit prize
  • 50% = median jackpot-hit prize (not the average!)
  • 100% = highest jackpot-hit prize

So if a jackpot has a 95% ranking, that means only 5% of past jackpot-hit prizes have ever reached that amount. Same idea with 90% – only 10% got that high.

To help visualize:

  • 🟨 Yellow = 70–79% ← ihanda na ang pang taya 😴
  • 🟩 Green = 80–89% ← fix your lucky numbers πŸ€‘
  • πŸŸ₯ Red = 90–100% ← fully ripe and ready to be hit 😍

Percentile ranking is calculated using Excel’s =PERCENTRANK.INC() function.

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πŸ“Š Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes β€” are calculated using the =GROWTH() function of Excel as described here. But I am using a more complex algorithm with more factors, trends, and biases that minimizes error rates across multiple iteration of estimates.

My 6D Lotto estimate forecast has an error rate of about 30% – that's practically unpredictable. While the rests have about 3% error rate. These error rates are based only on the first iteration of each forecast.

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🎯 Distance to Hit Probability β€” (left side of the draw-dates) shows how likely a jackpot is to be hit. This is relative only between the last date of the draw and the date besides each hit probability.

Examples as given above tables:

  • Lotto 6/42 has 51% chance of being hit between now and the 21st of October.
  • Mega Lotto has 50% chance of being hit between now and the 27th of October.
  • Super Lotto has 49% chance of being hit between now and the 26th of October.

How it's calculated:

  • Estimate number of tickets EACH draw-date,
  • Compute the chance of NOT winning per draw,
  • Multiply across dates to get cumulative probability,
  • This follows a non-homogeneous geometric distribution.

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✏️ Notes:

  • πŸŽ–οΈ Jackpot Percentile Rankings don’t change unless a jackpot is hit – they’re a stable long-term gauge.
  • 🎯 Distance to Hit Probabilities update every draw – so they’re only good until the next draw happens.
  • πŸ“Š Estimated Next Jackpot Prizes – not to brag, but my estimates are slightly more accurate than the ones being shared by PCSO.

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Posted Oct 11, 2025, 7:42 PM UTC

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