protos32

Why can't Disney sky in the next month? Why fight the mouse?

Reasoning*

• Disney has their 2nd quarter earnings on May 5th. Which which wont be great but will show there are well over 50 million subscribers to Disney+. Which is about a 25 million subscriber jump in 2 months. The initial projections were 60-90 million for the year so this is actually bat shit crazy.

• Florida is going to reopen. For better or worse the Governor is going to make this happen. He has created a "task-force" to reopen the states businesses and [Josh D’Amaro, president of the Walt Disney World Resort](htt

Just to preface, I'm extremely new to this. However, I've been thinking about this for the past 2 days and would love other perspectives.

I have been looking into these three Disney calls

• 5/8 $120c $0.55

• 5/29 $125c $0.78

• 6/19 $130c $0.86

Reasoning*

• Disney has their 2nd quarter earnings on May 5th. Which which wont be great but will show there are well over 50 million subscribers to Disney+. Which is about a 25 million subscriber jump in 2 months.

• Florida is going to reopen. For better or worse the Governor is going to make this happen. He has created a task-force to r

Inject this straight into my veins

So Spotrac.com has the Suns current cap situation at

Active Roster Cap = $84,327,445

Cap Holds = $28,188,816

Salaries = $112,516,261

2019 NBA Salary Cap Max = $109,000,000

Actual Cap Max Space = $-3,516,261

Practical Cap Max Space = $24,672,555

So my thought process, tell me if I'm wrong, is if we rescind Daniels, Bender, Crawford, Holmes, and King we'll only have Oubre's hold and now have $15,046,665 in cap space.

Our current roster looks like this:

Devin Booker $27,250,000

Tyler Johnson $19,245,370

T.J. Warren $10,810,000

Deandre Ayton $9,562,920

Josh Jackson $7,059,480

Mikal Bridges $4,161,000

Jimmer Fredette $1,988,119

De'Anthony Melton $1,416,852

Élie Okobo $1,416

So at the beginning of February I found this post about building a Four Factors Model and decided fuck it, I'm trash at gambling lets give it a go. So after almost 2 months of mixed results I kinda slowed down keeping up on it. But now I have some free time and would love some outside opinions and advice on how to improve hone in on what actually works and what doesn't work.

So without further ado This is the model

Important things to note:

• I took the last 8 games of advanced stats fr

The over/under is 33.5: over -149, under +114

The other over odds are

39.5 +137

44.5 +300

49.5 +546

54.5 +1351

59.5 +2610

61.5 +3200 Max bet

I'm feeling over 37.5 at +110

This was taken from this article;

https://www.theringer.com/nba/2019/3/4/18249721/boston-celtics-kyrie-irving-brad-stevens-crisis

Last offseason I remember his camp wanting $20 million a year. That clearly is never going to happen but what do you think we'll end up offering him?

crap

Season: 0-0

Yesterday Record: 0-0

Today

Portland State -7

Tulane -5.5

Mercer +2

St. Bonaventure -6.5

Dartmouth -2.5

San Diego State -5.5

Villanova -8.5

Southern Illinois -2

Western Kentucky -3

Loyola Chicago -4.5

Princeton +3

Ohio State -5.5

Since 2003 the ROTY has been won by the player with the highest average Game Score.

Rank|Player|Δ|Avg Game Score|Min|Ppg|Rbs|Ast|Stl|Blk|TO|Fg%|3P%|FT%|Team| :-:|:--|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-- |1.|DeAndre Ayton|-|14.3|31.7|16.2|10.2|2.5|0.6|0.8|2|59.9%|0%|78.3%|PHX |2.|Luka Doncic|-|12.6|33.1|18.5|6.5|4.3|1.1|0.4|3.8|44.3%|38.2%|79%|DAL |3.|Jaren Jackson|+1|10.7|25.7|13.9|4.5|1.4|1|2|1.6|52%|35.2%|78.1%|MEM |4.|Trae Young|-1|10.3|29.2|15.6|3|7.6|0.7|0.3|3.8|37.8%|24.8%|81.6%|ATL |5.|Marvin Bagley|+1|10|24.1|13|6.8|0.9|0.5|1.2|1.9|51%|30.4%|64.8%|SAC |6.|Wendell Carter|-1|9.6|25.7|11.4|7.1|2.1|0.6|1.6|1.6|47.1%|20.8%|80.8%|CHI |7.|Shai Gilgeous-Alexander|+1|

He is the kind of veteran we have need for YEARS constantly talking up teammates, keeping it positive, leading by example. He is a proven vet that you can visably see gives an actual shit. Thank you Jamal.

Since 2003 the ROTY has been won by the player with the highest average Game Score.

Rank|Player|Δ|Avg Game Score|Min|Ppg|Rbs|Ast|Stl|Blk|TO|Fg%|3P%|FT%|Team| :-:|:--|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-- |1.|DeAndre Ayton|-|15.2|32.3|16.9|10.4|2.8|0.6|0.7|2.1|62.4%|0%|75%|PHX |2.|Luka Doncic|-|13|33.7|19.1|6.6|4.3|1|0.3|3.8|45.3%|39.6%|78.1%|DAL |3.|Trae Young|-|10.3|29.2|15.7|2.9|7.7|0.7|0.3|3.9|38.3%|24.1%|83.1%|ATL |4.|Jaren Jackson|+1|10.3|25.3|13.1|4.6|1.5|1.1|2.2|1.6|51.9%|34.9%|72.4%|MEM |5.|Wendell Carter|-1|9.8|25.4|11.2|7.2|2.2|0.7|1.7|1.7|46.9%|22.7%|82.3%|CHI |6.|Marvin Bagley|-|9.6|24|12.7|6.7|0.9|0.5|1.3|2|50.8%|31.8%|64%|SAC |7.|Colin Sexton|+2|8.1|28.2

Since 2003 the ROTY has been won by the player with the highest average Game Score.

Rank|Player|Δ|Avg Game Score|Min|Ppg|Rbs|Ast|Stl|Blk|TO|Fg%|3P%|FT%|Team| :-:|:--|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-:|:-- |1.|DeAndre Ayton|-|14.6|32.7|16.3|10.5|2.8|0.7|0.7|2.1|60.3%|0%|76.3%|PHX |2.|Luka Doncic|-|13|33.7|19.5|6.6|4.2|0.9|0.3|3.9|46.7%|37.9%|76.7%|DAL |3.|Trae Young|-|10.7|29.7|16.3|3.2|7.8|0.6|0.3|3.9|39.4%|24.4%|81%|ATL |4.|Wendell Carter|-|10.7|25.9|11.3|7.4|2.3|0.6|1.9|1.6|46.5%|27.8%|79.6%|CHI |5.|Jaren Jackson|+1|9.8|24.5|12.7|4.7|1.3|1.2|1.8|1.5|49.7%|25.8%|74%|MEM |6.|Marvin Bagley|-1|8.4|22.7|11.9|5.7|0.8|0.4|1.1|2.2|50.7%|38.9%|62.9%|SAC |7.|Allonzo Trier|+1|7