Redistricting Recap Episode 8: North Carolina

:Discussion: Discussion

Previous episodes:

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Oregon

Maine

Nebraska

Indiana

West Virginia

Texas

Colorado

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This is, without a doubt, the worst map to this point. 10R-3D-1C in a tossup state is simply absurd. This map has a good chance to be overturned (it is being challenged in state and federal court). If it is, I will post a bonus episode covering the replacement map.

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#14 NC-9

Incumbent: Alma Adams (D)

Predecessor: NC-12 (Safe D)

Lean: D+44.2

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Charlotte

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#13 NC-6

Incumbent: David Price (D) [retiring]

Predecessor: NC-4 (Safe D)

Lean: D+42.8

Ranking: Safe D

Location: North Central North Carolina

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#12 NC-10

Incumbent: Richard Hudson (R) & Ted Budd (R) [running for other office]

Predecessor: None

Lean: R+26.6

Ranking: Safe R

Location: North Charlotte Suburbs

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#11 NC-13

Incumbent: Madison Cawthorn (R)

Predecessor: NC-5 (Safe R)

Lean: R+25.8

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Southwest North Carolina

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#10 NC-5

Incumbent: Deborah Ross (D)

Predecessor: NC-2 (Safe D)

Lean: D+23.7

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Raleigh

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#9 NC-8

Incumbent: Dan Bishop (R)

Predecessor: NC-8 (Lean R) & NC-9 (Lean R)

Lean: R+20.7

Ranking: Safe R

Location: South Charlotte Suburbs

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#8 NC-3

Incumbent: David Rouzer (R)

Predecessor: NC-7 (Safe R)

Lean: R+20.4

Ranking: Safe R

Location: South North Carolina

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#7 NC-1

Incumbent: Greg Murphy (R)

Predecessor: NC-3 (Safe R)

Lean: R+18.9

Ranking: Safe R

Location: East North Carolina

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#6 NC-7

Incumbent: None

Predecessor: NC-13 (Safe R)

Lean: R+21.0

Ranking: Safe R

Location: South Central North Carolina

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#5 NC-12

Incumbent: Patrick McHenry (R)

Predecessor: NC-10 (Safe R)

Lean: R+17.2

Ranking: Safe R

Location: West Central North Carolina

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#4 NC-11

Incumbent: Kathy Manning (D) & Virginia Foxx (R)

Predecessor: NC-6 (Safe D)

Lean: R+17.6

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Northwest North Carolina

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#3 NC-14

Incumbent: None

Predecessor: NC-11 (Safe R)

Lean: R+13.0

Ranking: Lean R

Location: West North Carolina

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#2 NC-4

Incumbent: None

Predecessor: None

Lean: R+10.6

Ranking: Lean R

Location: East Central North Carolina

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#1 NC-2

Incumbent: GK Butterfield (D) [retiring]

Predecessor: NC-1 (Lean D)

Lean: D+0.3

Ranking: Tossup

Location: Wilson

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Net Change: -1 Safe D, -1 Lean D, +1 Tossup, +2 Safe R

Running Total: +3 Safe D, -3 Lean D, -8 Lean R, +12 Safe R (+4 R)

Posted Nov 22, 2021, 2:21 PM UTC

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