Redistricting Recap Episode 13: Utah
Quick update: Dan Crenshaw (R) is running in TX-2 instead of TX-38. This doesn't change anything, as both seats are Safe R either way.
Side note: the safe/lean/tossup ratings are given a neutral enviornment. This is to keep them consistent regardless of generic ballot shifts that occur between posts.
Previous episodes:
Utah's new map divides Salt Lake County between all 4 districts. This is a brutal gerrymander, despite previous proposals being fair.
#4 UT-4
Incumbent: Burgess Owens (R)
Predecessor: UT-4 (Lean R)
Lean: R+27.3
Ranking: Safe R
Location: Central Utah
#3 UT-3
Incumbent: John Curtis (R)
Predecessor: UT-3 (Safe R)
Lean: R+23.1
Ranking: Safe R
Location: East Utah
#2 UT-1
Incumbent: Blake Moore (R)
Predecessor: UT-1 (Safe R)
Lean: R+21.2
Ranking: Safe R
Location: North Utah
#1 UT-2
Incumbent: Chris Stewart (R)
Predecessor: UT-2 (Safe R)
Lean: R+20.1
Ranking: Safe R
Location: West Utah
Net change: -1 Lean R, +1 Safe R
Running Total: +2 Safe D, -2 Lean D, -8 Lean R, +13 Safe R (+5 R)
Posted Dec 16, 2021, 2:08 PM UTC