Furples

I'm in the BB for this hand. The SB is an older local reg, probably a winner in the game and overall friendly guy (he's loaned me portable iphone chargers before). The BU is a whale down to his last $400. He's been losing some pots, tilting a little, but we've been chatting for the last 30 minutes about pizza places in my hometown (we found out that he used to live where I currently live out of state). Overall, the game has a very friendly vibe, unlike a lot of cut-throat 5/10 games.

The BU announces that he will be all-in blind next hand. It folds to the button, and sure enough he jams $400 without looking at his card. There was no discussion of this being a "flip". The SB, who clearly kno

Disclaimer: I’m a midstakes cash shitreg; I don’t play tournaments frequently, Trying to get better and think more about poker hands, and I put this together to kill some time at work as it’s a slow week.

Edit1: Per u/spreek, I didn't really take into account that AK is a pretty natural bluff and this becomes a pretty bad fold if villain decides to bluff with AK

TL;DR – it’s a very reasonable fold based on a few range assumptions. This is not a case of scared money making a bad fold and happening to have the worst hand.

Most information is taken from this PokerNews article: [https://www.pokernews.com/news/2019/01/nguyen-polychronopoulos-full-house-fold-33051.htm](https://www.

I came to play a few MTTs and mostly cash with some fellow reg-recs a few weeks ago. I work full-time but play for fun.

$565 Colossus

I spun up 5k starting stack on day 1 to 130k on my first bullet, not too many interesting hands. I played vs a pretty sick Israeli pro whose name I can’t remember, but he wore a bright pink bunny rabbit hat and made the game really fun. One semi-interesting vs him and another villain:

Villain opens CO, BU reg calls, I defend BB with KJss off ~30bb, both villains cover.

Flop J83hh, x/x/x

Turn 3o, I bet 65% pot, villain calls, one fold

River 7o, SPR is roughly 1.5-2 but I elect to bet 60% pot and villain thinks for 30 seconds and calls

I feel that amongst SSNL/MSNL players there's been a huge push towards prioritizing balance and attempting to adopt GTO ranges, which no doubt puts up the best 'defense' against other regs by preventing them from over-bluffing or under-bluffing you in many spots.

But doesn't a huge % of your winrate come from the one fish at the table, against which you should pretty much only be taking exploitative lines against? When 6 good regs play a high rake game it's likely they all lose money, which is why game selection is so important. So I'm not saying GTO isn't important, because it protects you from exploitation from other regs that might think you're under or over-defending in certain spots (