Oklahoma is basically the Republican equivalent to Massachusetts. Pretty much every reasonable district is going to be red, granted, the fifth district could easily be made competitive (it was somewhat competitive before redistricting), but I would still put Oklahoma in the 'gerrymandered by default' camp, unlike Utah.

#5 OK-2

Incumbent: Markwayne Mullin (R)

Predecessor: OK-2 (Safe R)

Lean: R+55.5

Ranking: Safe R

Location: East Oklahoma

#4 OK-3

Incumbent: Frank Lucas (R)

Predecessor: OK-3 (Safe R)

Lean: R+47.2

Ranking: Safe R

Location: West Oklahoma

#3 OK-4

Incumbent: Tom Cole (R)

Predecessor: OK-4 (Safe R)

Lean: R+36.2

Ranking: Safe R

Location: South Oklahoma

#2 OK-1

Incumbent: Kevin Hern (R)

Predecessor: OK-1 (Safe R)

Lean: R+27.4

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Tulsa

#1 OK-5

Incumbent: Stephanie Bice (R)

Predecessor: OK-5 (Safe R)

Lean: R+24.5

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Oklahoma City

No net change.

Running Total: +1 Lean D, -1 Tossup, -8 Lean R, +12 Safe R (+1 D, -1 T, +4 R)

Posted Dec 31, 2021, 3:24 PM UTC