Redistricting Recap Episode 20: New Mexico

:Discussion: Discussion

Quick Update:

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Mary Miller (R) is running in IL-15, not IL-12 as previously stated. Both districts are Safe R either way.

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Previous episodes:

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Oregon

Maine

Nebraska

Indiana

West Virginia

Texas

Colorado

North Carolina

Alabama

Iowa

Montana

Idaho

Utah

Nevada

Ohio

Massachusetts

Oklahoma

Illinois

Maryland

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New Mexico's districts are all light blue. This is a gerrymander which will likely cost Republicans a seat going forward, however all three districts are winnable for Republicans, at least in theory.

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#3 NM-1

Incumbent: Melanie Stansbury (D)

Predecessor: NM-1 (Safe D)

Lean: D+8.3

Ranking: Lean D

Location: Albuquerque

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#2 NM-3

Incumbent: Teresa Leger Fernandez (D)

Predecessor: NM-3 (Safe D)

Lean: D+7.1

Ranking: Lean D

Location: North New Mexico

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#1 NM-2

Incumbent: Yvette Herrell (R)

Predecessor: NM-2 (Safe R)

Lean: D+2.4

Ranking: Tossup

Location: South New Mexico

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Net change: -2 Safe D, +2 Lean D, +1 Tossup, -1 Safe R

Running Total: -3 Safe D +7 Lean D, -1 Tossup, -9 Lean R, +9 Safe R (+4 D, -1 T)

Posted Jan 3, 2022, 2:57 PM UTC

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