Redistricting Recap Episode 21: New Jersey

:Discussion: Discussion

Quick Update: Bobby Rush (D) of IL-1 is retiring. The district is still Safe D.

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Previous episodes:

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Oregon

Maine

Nebraska

Indiana

West Virginia

Texas

Colorado

North Carolina

Alabama

Iowa

Montana

Idaho

Utah

Nevada

Ohio

Massachusetts

Oklahoma

Illinois

Maryland

New Mexico

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If I had to describe New Jersey's redistricting in one word, that word would be 'bizarre.' By the time the public saw the proposal, it was already enacted, something that hadn't happened to that point. (With only four states not having proposals, it will likely not happen again.) In addition, the tiebreaking vote chose the Democratic gerrymander simply because Republicans got to draw last decade's map. All in all, this brutal gerrymander came out of nowhere.

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#12 NJ-10

Incumbent: Donald Payne (D)

Predecessor: NJ-10 (Safe D)

Lean: D+60.2

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Newark

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#11 NJ-8

Incumbent: Albio Sires (D) [retiring]

Predecessor: NJ-8 (Safe D)

Lean: D+45.0

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Hudson County

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#10 NJ-12

Incumbent: Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)

Predecessor: NJ-12 (Safe D)

Lean: D+29.8

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Central New Jersey

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#9 NJ-4

Incumbent: Chris Smith (R)

Predecessor: NJ-4 (Safe R)

Lean: R+28.2

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Ocean County

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#8 NJ-1

Incumbent: Donald Norcross (D)

Predecessor: NJ-1 (Safe D)

Lean: D+20.5

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Camden

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#7 NJ-9

Incumbent: Bill Pascrell (D)

Predecessor: NJ-9 (Safe D)

Lean: D+17.5

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Passaic County

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#6 NJ-6

Incumbent: Frank Pallone (D)

Predecessor: NJ-6 (Safe D)

Lean: D+15.9

Ranking: Safe D

Location: North Central New Jersey

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#5 NJ-11

Incumbent: Mikkie Sherrill (D)

Predecessor: NJ-11 (Lean D)

Lean: D+10.9

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Morris County

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#4 NJ-2

Incumbent: Jeff van Drew (R)

Predecessor: NJ-2 (Lean R)

Lean: R+9.4

Ranking: Lean R

Location: South New Jersey

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#3 NJ-3

Incumbent: Andy Kim (D)

Predecessor: NJ-3 (Tossup)

Lean: D+8.8

Ranking: Lean D

Location: South Central New Jersey

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#2 NJ-5

Incumbent: Josh Gottheimer (D)

Predecessor: NJ-5 (Tossup)

Lean: D+7.0

Ranking: Lean D

Location: North New Jersey

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#1 NJ-7

Incumbent: Tom Malinowski (D)

Predecessor: NJ-7 (Lean D)

Lean: R+3.6

Ranking: Tossup

Location: West New Jersey

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Net change: +1 Safe D, -1 Tossup

Running Total: -2 Safe D +7 Lean D, -2 Tossup, -9 Lean R, +9 Safe R (+5 D, -2 T)

Posted Jan 4, 2022, 3:06 PM UTC

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