Redistricting Recap Episode 33: Tennessee

:Discussion: Discussion

After a while, this series is back!

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Important update: New York's map was overturned, meaning the running total is now:

+1 Safe D, +7 Lean D, -6 Tossup, -9 Lean R, +8 Safe R.

Remember, these rating assume a tied generic ballot, because these posts will happen at different times.

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Previous Episodes:

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Oregon

Maine

Nebraska

Indiana

West Virginia

Texas

Colorado

Alabama

Iowa

Montana

Idaho

Utah

Nevada

Massachusetts

Oklahoma

Illinois

Maryland

New Mexico

New Jersey

Arizona

California

Michigan

Virginia

Georgia

Arkansas

Kentucky

Mississippi

South Carolina

Hawaii

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This map is a pretty standard gerrymander. A Nashville district was dissolved to give Republicans an edge.

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#9 TN-1

Incumbent: Diana Harshbarger (R)

Predecessor: TN-1 (Safe R)

Lean: R+58.8

Ranking: Safe R

Location: East Tennessee

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#8 TN-9

Incumbent: Steve Cohen (D)

Predecessor: TN-9 (Safe D)

Lean: D+44.1

Ranking: Safe D

Location: Memphis

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#7 TN-4

Incumbent: Scott DesJarlais (R)

Predecessor: TN-4 (Safe R)

Lean: R+42.6

Ranking: Safe R

Location: South Tennessee

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#6 TN-8

Incumbent: David Kustoff (R)

Predecessor: TN-8 (Safe R)

Lean: R+41.5

Ranking: Safe R

Location: West Tennessee

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#5 TN-3

Incumbent: Chuck Fleischmann (R)

Predecessor: TN-3 (Safe R)

Lean: R+36.7

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Chattanooga

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#4 TN-2

Incumbent: Tim Burchett (R)

Predecessor: TN-2 (Safe R)

Lean: R+35.1

Ranking: Safe R

Location: Knoxville

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#3 TN-6

Incumbent: John Rose (R)

Predecessor: TN-6 (Safe R)

Lean: R+33.8

Ranking: Safe R

Location: North Tennessee

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#2 TN-7

Incumbent: Mark Green (R)

Predecessor: TN-7 (Safe R)

Lean: R+19.5

Ranking: Safe R

Location: West Central Tennessee

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#1 TN-5

Incumbent: Jim Cooper (D) [retiring]

Predecessor: TN-5 (Safe D)

Lean: R+17.1

Ranking: Safe R

Location: East Central Tennessee

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Net change: -1 Safe D, +1 Safe R

Running total: +7 Lean D, -6 Tossup, -9 Lean R, +9 Safe R. (+7 D, -6 T)

Posted May 4, 2022, 6:30 PM UTC

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